U.S. President Donald Trump and senior Iranian officials exchanged threats on Friday as protests spread across Iran in late 2025, leaving at least eight dead. Demonstrations fueled by economic collapse are heightening U.S.–Iran tensions after June strikes.
The exchange of threats between Washington and Tehran underscores how domestic unrest inside Iran is intersecting with already heightened U.S.–Iran tensions following American strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025. What began as protests driven by economic distress has rapidly evolved into a geopolitical flashpoint, with both sides using public rhetoric to signal red lines while stopping short of immediate military escalation.
U.S. President Donald Trump directly addressed the unrest on Friday via his Truth Social account, warning Tehran against the violent suppression of demonstrators. “We are locked and loaded and ready to go,” Trump wrote, adding that the United States would “come to their rescue” if peaceful protesters were killed. The post marked a rare and explicit statement of support for Iranian demonstrators from a sitting U.S. president during active protests, a departure from the caution shown during earlier unrest in 2009 and 2022.
“Any Intervention Will Backfire”
As of Friday, U.S. officials said there had been no significant adjustment to American troop deployments or military readiness across the Middle East in response to President Trump’s social media statements. The assessment was provided by a U.S. official speaking on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of operational planning.
Iran, meanwhile, moved to formally register its objections at the United Nations. Late on Friday, Tehran submitted a letter to UN Secretary-General António Guterres and the Security Council, calling on the body to condemn what it described as threatening rhetoric and to reaffirm Iran’s right to safeguard its sovereignty, territorial integrity and national security from external interference.
Iran’s ambassador to the UN, Amir Saeid Iravani, warned in the letter that Washington would be held accountable for any fallout stemming from what he termed unlawful threats and any subsequent escalation. The diplomatic message was reinforced by sharper language from within Iran’s security establishment. Ali Shamkhani, an adviser to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and a former head of the Supreme National Security Council, cautioned that “any interventionist hand that approaches Iran’s security will be cut.”
Protests Driven by Economic Collapse
The demonstrations, now in their sixth day, are the largest Iran has seen since nationwide protests erupted in 2022 following the death of Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old woman detained by morality police. While current protests have not yet matched the scale of those earlier demonstrations, they have spread to more than 100 locations across 22 of Iran’s 31 provinces, according to the Human Rights Activists News Agency.
At least eight people have been killed, including one demonstrator in Marvdasht, in Fars province. Videos circulating online showed funerals turning into protests, including the burial of 21-year-old Amirhessam Khodayari in Kouhdasht, roughly 400 kilometers southwest of Tehran. Footage showed mourners chasing away security personnel, while Khodayari’s father publicly denied official claims that his son had served in the Basij, the volunteer paramilitary force linked to the Revolutionary Guard.
The protests were initially sparked by the collapse of Iran’s rial, which has depreciated to roughly 1.4 million rials to the U.S. dollar. Demonstrators have increasingly chanted against Iran’s political system, reflecting how economic grievances are converging with broader political anger.
Diplomatic Signals and Strategic Risk
Iran’s response has combined internal messaging with international diplomacy. In a letter to U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres and the Security Council, Ambassador Amir Saeid Iravani called for condemnation of U.S. rhetoric and reaffirmation of Iran’s right to defend its sovereignty. “The United States of America bears full responsibility for any consequences arising from these unlawful threats,” he wrote.
President Masoud Pezeshkian’s reformist government has attempted to signal openness to dialogue with protesters but has acknowledged its limited ability to stabilize the economy. Tehran has also said it is no longer enriching uranium at any site, an apparent attempt to reopen the door to negotiations over sanctions relief. Those talks remain stalled, however, as U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continue to warn Iran against rebuilding its nuclear program.
Iran is effectively living under war conditions and is prepared for all scenarios, a senior advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, while signalling that Tehran could reduce uranium enrichment from 60% to 20% if it receives concessions in return.
Ali Shamkhani, a senior advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said Iran’s nuclear programme remains entirely peaceful and rejected claims that uranium enriched to 60% is intended for military use.
Speaking to Lebanon-based Al-Mayadeen television, Shamkhani said Iran could lower its uranium enrichment level from 60% to 20%, a move long sought by Western powers, but stressed that such a step would require a “price”.
Enrichment at 60% can be reduced to 20%, but it must come at a price. We do not know exactly how much enriched uranium remains, because some of it is buried under rubble and has not been recovered due to the risks involved.
Ali Shamkhani, Senior Advisor of Iran’s Supreme Leader
He said Iran has no intention of transferring its enriched uranium abroad, adding that this option is now “completely off the table”.
“We Are Living in the Shadow of War”
Shamkhani described Iran’s current situation as one shaped by constant pressure and the threat of conflict, saying the country is already living under wartime conditions.
He said Iran’s enemies have imposed unjust conditions, unjust threats and an unjust war environment, while preparing for confrontation with all their strength. According to Shamkhani, Tehran is therefore ready for any possible scenario.
Europe Sidelined, US Seen as Sole Counterpart
Shamkhani said Europe has been effectively sidelined from the nuclear process since former US president Donald Trump withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal in 2018.
He said European countries were unable to play any meaningful role either after the withdrawal or during negotiations held ahead of last June’s conflict. According to Shamkhani, Trump did not allow European parties to intervene in the process.
As a result, Shamkhani said the nuclear issue can only be discussed directly with the United States and strictly within the framework of nuclear negotiations, adding that reaching an agreement with Washington remains possible.
Uncertainty Over Uranium Stockpiles
Shamkhani also said Iran does not know exactly how much enriched uranium it currently holds. He said part of the stockpile is buried under rubble and has not been recovered due to the risks involved.
No steps have been taken to extract those materials so far, he added, citing safety concerns.
Iran and the United States are set to hold high-level talks in Istanbul on February 6 as efforts intensify to revive stalled nuclear negotiations. The meeting will bring together senior officials alongside key regional actors amid rising geopolitical tensions.
According to diplomats speaking to Reuters, US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will meet in Istanbul on Friday, February 6, in a renewed attempt to revive nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington.
A regional diplomat said the talks will include bilateral, trilateral and multilateral formats, reflecting a broader diplomatic push to prevent further escalation.
Regional Actors Join the Process
The same diplomat noted that Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and several other countries will participate in the Istanbul talks, underscoring regional efforts to support diplomacy.
Iran’s Fars News Agency, citing a government official, reported that President Masoud Pezeshkian has instructed officials to initiate negotiations with the United States over Iran’s nuclear program.
Mixed Signals From Washington
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he remained optimistic about reaching an agreement but warned that “bad things could happen to Iran” if talks fail.
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani said a negotiation framework had already been established, rejecting media speculation about an imminent military conflict.
Contrary to the war scenarios being promoted in the media, we are making progress on the structural arrangements for negotiations.
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani
An Iranian official told Reuters that diplomacy is ongoing, but stressed that Washington must reduce its military presence in the region for talks to formally begin, adding: “The ball is now in Trump’s court.”
Russia Renews Uranium Proposal
Russia has also stepped in to support de-escalation efforts. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Moscow has reiterated its offer to take Iran’s enriched uranium, convert it into fuel for civilian nuclear reactors and store it as part of a broader confidence-building measure.
However, Iran’s semi-official Tasnim News Agency reported that officials from the Supreme National Security Council remain opposed to sending enriched uranium abroad. Deputy Secretary Ali Bagheri Kani said the proposal would not be discussed in potential talks with Washington.
Escalating Tensions and Diplomatic Traffic
Diplomatic activity has intensified amid fears that Iran–US tensions could spill into a regional conflict. Trump sparked speculation in January by saying “help is on the way” following protests in Iran, comments that were widely interpreted as signaling possible military action.
The US later deployed the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln to the Middle East under CENTCOM’s area of responsibility. On January 28, Trump again urged Tehran to return to nuclear talks, warning that any future military action would be “far worse” than US strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards were expected to conduct naval drills in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1, but the exercise was subsequently canceled.
Türkiye Offers Facilitation Role
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has warned that a US attack on Iran would trigger a regional war.
Meanwhile, diplomatic engagement between Ankara and Tehran has intensified. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan met Araghchi on January 29, emphasizing the importance of returning to the negotiating table. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan followed up with a phone call to President Pezeshkian on January 30.
According to Türkiye’s Communications Directorate, Erdoğan told his Iranian counterpart that Ankara is ready to play a facilitating role between Iran and the United States. Erdoğan later met Araghchi in person during the Iranian minister’s visit to Türkiye.
Israel said it will reopen Gaza’s Rafah crossing on Sunday for limited civilian movement under Israeli inspection, EU supervision, and Egyptian coordination.
Israeli authorities say the crossing, closed for nearly two years, will reopen on Sunday for limited civilian transit only, tightly controlled by Israeli security procedures.
The reopening aligns with provisions outlined in the second phase of the ceasefire agreement, though no firm timetable for broader implementation has been announced.
The Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), an Israeli defense ministry body, said on Friday that “exit from and entry into the Gaza Strip via the Rafah Crossing will be permitted in coordination with Egypt, following prior security clearance of individuals by Israel, and under the supervision of the European Union mission.”
COGAT added that the mechanism would mirror arrangements used in January 2025, including an additional screening and identification process at a corridor under Israeli military control.
“Limited Manner, Full Inspection”
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu underscored the security-first approach on Jan 28, stating, “We agreed to open the Rafah crossing in a limited manner, and only with our inspection.”
He added that it will be for people only, in limited numbers, and “everyone who exits or enters will undergo our inspection – a full inspection.”
Israeli officials say the initial phase will allow dozens of Palestinians per day in each direction, prioritizing medical evacuees and civilians displaced during the war.
An Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Associated Press that movement would begin with cases approved in advance, including wounded civilians and those requiring specialized medical care unavailable in Gaza. According to Gaza’s health ministry, roughly 20,000 sick and wounded Palestinians currently require treatment outside the enclave, where hospitals and surgical capacity were severely degraded during the conflict.
Humanitarian Pressure at the Crossing
Rafah has historically been the primary gateway between Gaza and Egypt and a critical conduit for humanitarian access. Gaza is home to approximately 2 million people, many displaced multiple times and facing shortages of food, shelter, and medicine. Thousands inside Gaza are seeking to leave, while tens of thousands who fled earlier phases of fighting are seeking to return. Under the announced plan, only Palestinians who left Gaza during the war will be permitted to re-enter, and only after Israeli security clearance coordinated with Egypt.
Hamas responded by calling for full implementation of the ceasefire terms, urging Israel to open the crossing “in both directions without restrictions.” Israeli officials, however, maintain that control of Rafah remains a security imperative, particularly following the return of the remains of the last Israeli captive earlier this week, which concluded a core component of the ceasefire’s first phase.
External Oversight, Narrow Scope
The reopening will take place under the supervision of the European Union Border Assistance Mission, with Egypt coordinating on its side of the crossing. While the arrangement restores a degree of civilian movement after nearly 24 months of closure, Israeli statements make clear that Rafah will not function as an unrestricted border. The scope is limited to people, not goods, and all transit remains subject to Israeli approval.
The record on the ground appears to be far worse. An infographic by Anadolu Agency reporting shows Israel committed 1,244 ceasefire violations in Gaza after the truce took effect on October 10, 2025, resulting in 449 Palestinian deaths and 1,246 injuries. The report cites major restrictions on aid deliveries, and a shelter crisis affecting more than 1.5 million displaced people during winter conditions, claiming that Israel’s compliance only amounted to 12% of the provisions of the ceasefire deal.