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US Forces Fully Withdraw from Iraq

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Iraq announced that US forces have fully withdrawn from all military facilities under federal control.

Iraq’s government announced on Sunday that US forces have completed a full withdrawal from all military facilities within the country’s federal territory, marking a significant milestone in Baghdad’s efforts to assert sovereignty while redefining security cooperation with Washington.

Final US Troops Depart Al-Asad Air Base

According to Iraq’s Ministry of Defense, the final contingent of US military advisers departed from Al-Asad Air Base in Anbar province, a facility that hosted American troops for more than two decades. The withdrawal follows a gradual drawdown that began after the Iraqi government formally requested a reduction of US forces in 2023.

The ministry confirmed that installations previously used by the US-led coalition were transferred to full Iraqi security control, including facilities within the Joint Operations Command headquarters.

Coalition Mission Ends on Federal Territory

Iraqi officials stated that the US-led coalition against ISIS terrorist organization has concluded its mission on Iraq’s federal territory. The US military has maintained an advisory and assistance role since December 2021, when it formally ended its combat operations in the country.

The US Department of Defense’s Central Command confirmed that Iraq’s announcement regarding the handover of military facilities was factual, though it provided no further operational details.

US Forces Remain in Areas Under Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government

Despite the federal withdrawal, US forces continue to be stationed at Harir Air Base in Erbil province, located in areas administered by the Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government. Under Iraq’s constitution, the region operates as an autonomous federal entity with its own government, parliament, and security forces, while remaining part of the Iraqi state.

Baghdad emphasized that the withdrawal applies strictly to federal territory and does not affect existing arrangements in areas under the Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government.

A History of Fluctuating US Military Presence

The US military presence in Iraq has varied dramatically since the 2003 invasion. At its peak, around 170,000 US troops were deployed across the country. Former US President Barack Obama oversaw a full withdrawal in 2011, before approximately 5,000 troops returned in 2014 at the Iraqi government’s request to support operations against ISIS, a terrorist organization.

Since the end of the US combat mission in 2021, roughly 2,500 American troops have remained in an advisory capacity.

Regional Tensions and Repeated Attacks

US forces stationed at Al-Asad Air Base have been targeted numerous times over the years by Iran and Iran-backed armed groups. In January 2020, Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on the base in retaliation for a US drone strike near Baghdad airport that killed Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani.

Following the October 7, 2023 attacks in Israel, Iran-aligned militia groups intensified missile and drone attacks on Al-Asad. In August 2024, five US service members and two US contractors were injured in one such strike.

The latest withdrawal comes amid heightened regional tensions as US President Donald Trump considers potential military action against Iran during widespread protests against Tehran’s authoritarian leadership.

Future Cooperation and Counter-ISIS Coordination

Iraqi officials said the country’s armed forces across all branches possess sufficient capabilities to secure national territory. Future cooperation with the US will focus on training programs, equipment acquisition, joint military exercises, and operational coordination under bilateral agreements.

While Baghdad considers the coalition mission concluded within Iraq, officials noted that coalition operations against ISIS, a terrorist organization, continue in Syria. Iraq expects logistical support to transit through coalition facilities in Erbil and did not rule out joint US-Iraqi counter-ISIS operations launched from Al-Asad if deemed necessary.

Impact on Militia Disarmament Talks

The US withdrawal could strengthen Baghdad’s position in negotiations over the disarmament of non-state armed groups. Several Iran-backed militias have long cited the presence of US forces as justification for retaining their weapons.

Groups such as Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat al-Nujaba — designated by the US as terrorist entities — have rejected disarmament demands, insisting they would only relinquish arms once Iraq achieves full sovereignty, including the withdrawal of foreign forces.

There were no immediate responses from these groups following Sunday’s announcement, despite their continued influence within Iraq’s security, political, and economic landscape.

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Middle East

Iran Puts Uranium Enrichment on the Negotiating Table

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Iran is effectively living under war conditions and is prepared for all scenarios, a senior advisor to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, while signalling that Tehran could reduce uranium enrichment from 60% to 20% if it receives concessions in return.

Ali Shamkhani, a senior advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said Iran’s nuclear programme remains entirely peaceful and rejected claims that uranium enriched to 60% is intended for military use.

Speaking to Lebanon-based Al-Mayadeen television, Shamkhani said Iran could lower its uranium enrichment level from 60% to 20%, a move long sought by Western powers, but stressed that such a step would require a “price”.

Enrichment at 60% can be reduced to 20%, but it must come at a price. We do not know exactly how much enriched uranium remains, because some of it is buried under rubble and has not been recovered due to the risks involved.

Ali Shamkhani, Senior Advisor of Iran’s Supreme Leader

He said Iran has no intention of transferring its enriched uranium abroad, adding that this option is now “completely off the table”.

“We Are Living in the Shadow of War”

Shamkhani described Iran’s current situation as one shaped by constant pressure and the threat of conflict, saying the country is already living under wartime conditions.

He said Iran’s enemies have imposed unjust conditions, unjust threats and an unjust war environment, while preparing for confrontation with all their strength. According to Shamkhani, Tehran is therefore ready for any possible scenario.

Europe Sidelined, US Seen as Sole Counterpart

Shamkhani said Europe has been effectively sidelined from the nuclear process since former US president Donald Trump withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal in 2018.

He said European countries were unable to play any meaningful role either after the withdrawal or during negotiations held ahead of last June’s conflict. According to Shamkhani, Trump did not allow European parties to intervene in the process.

As a result, Shamkhani said the nuclear issue can only be discussed directly with the United States and strictly within the framework of nuclear negotiations, adding that reaching an agreement with Washington remains possible.

Uncertainty Over Uranium Stockpiles

Shamkhani also said Iran does not know exactly how much enriched uranium it currently holds. He said part of the stockpile is buried under rubble and has not been recovered due to the risks involved.

No steps have been taken to extract those materials so far, he added, citing safety concerns.

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Middle East

Rafah Crossing Will Reopen On Sunday

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Israel said it will reopen Gaza’s Rafah crossing on Sunday for limited civilian movement under Israeli inspection, EU supervision, and Egyptian coordination.

Israeli authorities say the crossing, closed for nearly two years, will reopen on Sunday for limited civilian transit only, tightly controlled by Israeli security procedures.

The reopening aligns with provisions outlined in the second phase of the ceasefire agreement, though no firm timetable for broader implementation has been announced.

The Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), an Israeli defense ministry body, said on Friday that “exit from and entry into the Gaza Strip via the Rafah Crossing will be permitted in coordination with Egypt, following prior security clearance of individuals by Israel, and under the supervision of the European Union mission.”

COGAT added that the mechanism would mirror arrangements used in January 2025, including an additional screening and identification process at a corridor under Israeli military control.

“Limited Manner, Full Inspection”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu underscored the security-first approach on Jan 28, stating, “We agreed to open the Rafah crossing in a limited manner, and only with our inspection.”

He added that it will be for people only, in limited numbers, and “everyone who exits or enters will undergo our inspection – a full inspection.”

Israeli officials say the initial phase will allow dozens of Palestinians per day in each direction, prioritizing medical evacuees and civilians displaced during the war.

An Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Associated Press that movement would begin with cases approved in advance, including wounded civilians and those requiring specialized medical care unavailable in Gaza. According to Gaza’s health ministry, roughly 20,000 sick and wounded Palestinians currently require treatment outside the enclave, where hospitals and surgical capacity were severely degraded during the conflict.

Humanitarian Pressure at the Crossing

Rafah has historically been the primary gateway between Gaza and Egypt and a critical conduit for humanitarian access. Gaza is home to approximately 2 million people, many displaced multiple times and facing shortages of food, shelter, and medicine. Thousands inside Gaza are seeking to leave, while tens of thousands who fled earlier phases of fighting are seeking to return. Under the announced plan, only Palestinians who left Gaza during the war will be permitted to re-enter, and only after Israeli security clearance coordinated with Egypt.

Hamas responded by calling for full implementation of the ceasefire terms, urging Israel to open the crossing “in both directions without restrictions.” Israeli officials, however, maintain that control of Rafah remains a security imperative, particularly following the return of the remains of the last Israeli captive earlier this week, which concluded a core component of the ceasefire’s first phase.

External Oversight, Narrow Scope

The reopening will take place under the supervision of the European Union Border Assistance Mission, with Egypt coordinating on its side of the crossing. While the arrangement restores a degree of civilian movement after nearly 24 months of closure, Israeli statements make clear that Rafah will not function as an unrestricted border. The scope is limited to people, not goods, and all transit remains subject to Israeli approval.

The record on the ground appears to be far worse. An infographic by Anadolu Agency reporting shows Israel committed 1,244 ceasefire violations in Gaza after the truce took effect on October 10, 2025, resulting in 449 Palestinian deaths and 1,246 injuries. The report cites major restrictions on aid deliveries, and a shelter crisis affecting more than 1.5 million displaced people during winter conditions, claiming that Israel’s compliance only amounted to 12% of the provisions of the ceasefire deal.

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“U.S. May Launch Strike on Iran on Sunday”

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U.S. officials have reportedly warned a regional ally that a potential military strike against Iran could begin as early as Sunday, according to claims circulating in the American press amid rising regional tensions.

According to Drop Site News, American officials have alerted a regional ally that a potential strike against Iran could begin on Sunday. The alleged operation is said to extend beyond nuclear and missile infrastructure, with claims that Iran’s leadership itself could also be among the targets.

Trump’s Remarks Fuel Speculation

The reports follow recent comments by U.S. President Donald Trump, who stated that he had given Iran a “deadline for a deal.” His remarks have been widely interpreted in Washington as a signal that the military option remains under active consideration if diplomacy fails.

Regime Change Claims

Drop Site News reported that Trump could approve a strike on Iran as early as this weekend. The outlet claimed that the proposed operation would aim not only to degrade Iran’s military capabilities but could also seek to trigger regime change.

CENTCOM warning in the Strait of Hormuz

Meanwhile, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) issued a warning to Iran ahead of planned military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM cautioned Iranian forces against approaching U.S. troops and stressed that maneuvers posing a threat to American personnel would not be tolerated.

Iran signals possible retaliation

In response, Ali Shamkhani, an adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned that any attack on Iran could prompt strikes deep inside Israel, raising fears of a broader regional escalation.

U.S. naval deployment highlighted

Trump also underscored the scale of U.S. military deployments, saying the American naval force moving toward Iran was larger than the fleet sent toward Venezuela. He reiterated his warning that there would be consequences if no agreement is reached with Tehran.

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