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US Military Buildup Intensifies in Middle East as Iran Tensions Mount

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The United States is continuing to reinforce its military posture in the Middle East as President Donald Trump weighs potential action against Iran, amid escalating unrest inside the country and mounting regional tensions involving Israel.

US President Donald Trump said Tuesday that a military response against Iran remains a possibility as Tehran’s violent crackdown on anti-government protests enters its fourth week.

“Is the military option off the table? No,” Trump said during a White House press conference, declining to commit to a specific course of action against Iran’s leadership, including Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Trump claimed that Iranian authorities had stepped back from plans to execute hundreds of protesters following US warnings.

They were going to hang 837 people. We made it very clear that would be a very bad day for them, and they didn’t do it.

U.S. President Donald Trump

The US president added that while executions were reportedly halted for now, future developments remain uncertain.

Protests, Blackouts and Escalating Rhetoric

Iran has been gripped by widespread protests since late December, driven by soaring prices, a collapsing currency, prolonged drought and harsh government repression. Thousands are reported to have been killed, though the full scope remains unclear due to government-imposed internet and telecommunications blackouts.

Despite Trump’s earlier pledge that help was coming for protesters, a reported US strike was called off last week after assurances that executions would cease.

Iranian officials have responded with sharp warnings. On Tuesday, a spokesman for Iran’s armed forces cautioned Trump against taking action against Khamenei.

If any hand of aggression is extended toward our leader, we will not only cut that hand but set fire to their world.

Gen. Abolfazl Shekarchi

The warning followed Trump’s weekend call for regime change, when he said, “It’s time to look for new leadership in Iran.”

US Military Assets Move Into Position

Even as Washington refrains from direct military action, the US military buildup continues. The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group is moving west toward the region, accompanied by increased air activity involving combat aircraft, refueling tankers and cargo planes.

The carrier group has transited the Strait of Malacca into the Bay of Bengal and is believed to be heading toward the US Central Command area, though the vessel has since turned off its transponder.

Flight tracking data shows F-15E Strike Eagles departing RAF Lakenheath in the UK alongside KC-135 aerial refueling aircraft en route to the Middle East. The aircraft have played a central role in defending Israel against Iranian missile and drone attacks and are expected to bolster both offensive and defensive capabilities.

US Central Command has confirmed increased air activity by publishing images of F-15Es landing in the region, though it has declined to comment on force levels.

Logistics Surge Signals Contingency Planning

An uptick in C-17 Globemaster III cargo flights suggests preparations for potential large-scale operations, including the transport of air defense systems, equipment and personnel.

The US Air Force has also moved M1 Abrams tanks and M2 Bradley Fighting Vehicles into the region, though officials have not confirmed whether the deployments are directly tied to Iran-related contingencies.

Despite the buildup—which includes around 30,000 US troops, six warships and extensive air assets—analysts say the US is not yet positioned for a prolonged, high-intensity campaign against Iran.

Israel Prepares for Escalation

As US forces reinforce the region, Israel is openly preparing for confrontation with Tehran, following their most recent conflict during the 12-day war in June.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that Israel would respond with unprecedented force.

Jerusalem will act with might that Iran has not seen before,

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Addressing the Knesset, Netanyahu said Israel was closely monitoring events inside Iran and praised protesters challenging the regime.

No one can predict what tomorrow will bring in Iran, but one thing is clear: Iran will not return to what it once was.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu

Willingness to Absorb Heavy Losses

Israeli officials have indicated they are prepared to endure a massive Iranian missile barrage if it leads to regime collapse in Tehran.

Israeli media reported that even a strike involving hundreds of Iranian missiles would not alter Jerusalem’s strategic calculus, particularly after lessons learned during the recent conflict.

However, questions remain over Israel’s interceptor stockpiles, especially its costly Arrow missile defense systems. Iran, meanwhile, has accelerated missile production since the war, raising concerns about the scale of any future exchange.

A Region on the Brink

With US forces repositioning, Israel bracing for escalation and Iran issuing stark warnings, the Middle East remains on edge. While no shots have yet been fired, the military posture on all sides suggests preparations for multiple scenarios.

For now, the standoff continues—tense, unresolved, and increasingly volatile.

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Middle East

Rafah Crossing Will Reopen On Sunday

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Israel said it will reopen Gaza’s Rafah crossing on Sunday for limited civilian movement under Israeli inspection, EU supervision, and Egyptian coordination.

Israeli authorities say the crossing, closed for nearly two years, will reopen on Sunday for limited civilian transit only, tightly controlled by Israeli security procedures.

The reopening aligns with provisions outlined in the second phase of the ceasefire agreement, though no firm timetable for broader implementation has been announced.

The Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories (COGAT), an Israeli defense ministry body, said on Friday that “exit from and entry into the Gaza Strip via the Rafah Crossing will be permitted in coordination with Egypt, following prior security clearance of individuals by Israel, and under the supervision of the European Union mission.”

COGAT added that the mechanism would mirror arrangements used in January 2025, including an additional screening and identification process at a corridor under Israeli military control.

“Limited Manner, Full Inspection”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu underscored the security-first approach on Jan 28, stating, “We agreed to open the Rafah crossing in a limited manner, and only with our inspection.”

He added that it will be for people only, in limited numbers, and “everyone who exits or enters will undergo our inspection – a full inspection.”

Israeli officials say the initial phase will allow dozens of Palestinians per day in each direction, prioritizing medical evacuees and civilians displaced during the war.

An Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity, told The Associated Press that movement would begin with cases approved in advance, including wounded civilians and those requiring specialized medical care unavailable in Gaza. According to Gaza’s health ministry, roughly 20,000 sick and wounded Palestinians currently require treatment outside the enclave, where hospitals and surgical capacity were severely degraded during the conflict.

Humanitarian Pressure at the Crossing

Rafah has historically been the primary gateway between Gaza and Egypt and a critical conduit for humanitarian access. Gaza is home to approximately 2 million people, many displaced multiple times and facing shortages of food, shelter, and medicine. Thousands inside Gaza are seeking to leave, while tens of thousands who fled earlier phases of fighting are seeking to return. Under the announced plan, only Palestinians who left Gaza during the war will be permitted to re-enter, and only after Israeli security clearance coordinated with Egypt.

Hamas responded by calling for full implementation of the ceasefire terms, urging Israel to open the crossing “in both directions without restrictions.” Israeli officials, however, maintain that control of Rafah remains a security imperative, particularly following the return of the remains of the last Israeli captive earlier this week, which concluded a core component of the ceasefire’s first phase.

External Oversight, Narrow Scope

The reopening will take place under the supervision of the European Union Border Assistance Mission, with Egypt coordinating on its side of the crossing. While the arrangement restores a degree of civilian movement after nearly 24 months of closure, Israeli statements make clear that Rafah will not function as an unrestricted border. The scope is limited to people, not goods, and all transit remains subject to Israeli approval.

The record on the ground appears to be far worse. An infographic by Anadolu Agency reporting shows Israel committed 1,244 ceasefire violations in Gaza after the truce took effect on October 10, 2025, resulting in 449 Palestinian deaths and 1,246 injuries. The report cites major restrictions on aid deliveries, and a shelter crisis affecting more than 1.5 million displaced people during winter conditions, claiming that Israel’s compliance only amounted to 12% of the provisions of the ceasefire deal.

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Middle East

“U.S. May Launch Strike on Iran on Sunday”

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U.S. officials have reportedly warned a regional ally that a potential military strike against Iran could begin as early as Sunday, according to claims circulating in the American press amid rising regional tensions.

According to Drop Site News, American officials have alerted a regional ally that a potential strike against Iran could begin on Sunday. The alleged operation is said to extend beyond nuclear and missile infrastructure, with claims that Iran’s leadership itself could also be among the targets.

Trump’s Remarks Fuel Speculation

The reports follow recent comments by U.S. President Donald Trump, who stated that he had given Iran a “deadline for a deal.” His remarks have been widely interpreted in Washington as a signal that the military option remains under active consideration if diplomacy fails.

Regime Change Claims

Drop Site News reported that Trump could approve a strike on Iran as early as this weekend. The outlet claimed that the proposed operation would aim not only to degrade Iran’s military capabilities but could also seek to trigger regime change.

CENTCOM warning in the Strait of Hormuz

Meanwhile, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) issued a warning to Iran ahead of planned military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM cautioned Iranian forces against approaching U.S. troops and stressed that maneuvers posing a threat to American personnel would not be tolerated.

Iran signals possible retaliation

In response, Ali Shamkhani, an adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned that any attack on Iran could prompt strikes deep inside Israel, raising fears of a broader regional escalation.

U.S. naval deployment highlighted

Trump also underscored the scale of U.S. military deployments, saying the American naval force moving toward Iran was larger than the fleet sent toward Venezuela. He reiterated his warning that there would be consequences if no agreement is reached with Tehran.

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Middle East

A Biography of Iraq’s Polarizer: Nouri al-Maliki

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Nouri al-Maliki, Iraq’s prime minister from 2006 to 2014, rose from exile after 1979 to dominate post-Saddam politics.

His tenure was marked by sectarian rule, corruption, Iran ties, and the 2014 fall of Mosul, shaping Iraq’s instability and foreign relations.

Nouri al-Maliki, born in 1950, joined the Islamic Da’wa Party in the 1970s and fled Iraq in 1979 after persecution by Saddam Hussein’s regime. 

He lived in Syria and Iran through the 1980s and 1990s, operating under the alias “Jawad” and building links with Iranian and Hezbollah figures. 

After the 2003 U.S.-led invasion, he returned to Baghdad, served on the de-Baathification commission, helped draft the 2005 constitution, and entered parliament. 

In May 2006, after months of deadlock, he was selected as prime minister, succeeding Ibrahim al-Jaafari. 

That year, he approved Saddam Hussein’s execution, carried out during a religious holiday, a decision that drew criticism for its sectarian symbolism.

Monopoly of Power

Al-Maliki governed for two terms from 2006 to 2014, becoming the longest-serving Iraqi leader since 2003. 

After losing the 2010 election to Ayad Allawi’s Iraqiya bloc, he retained office through coalition maneuvering and court rulings.

He concentrated authority by holding key security ministries and appointing loyalists to command posts. 

In 2011, he obtained a court ruling placing independent agencies under cabinet control, which critics called a “coup against the constitution.” 

His government pursued Sunni rivals, including Vice President Tariq al-Hashemi, who fled Iraq after terrorism charges, and Deputy Prime Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq, who accused Maliki of being “worse than Saddam Hussein.” 

Sunni protests in 2012–2013 were suppressed, culminating in the April 2013 Hawija raid, where dozens of demonstrators were killed. Human Rights Watch later documented a secret detention facility in Baghdad run by forces reporting directly to his office.

Corruption allegations defined his tenure. 

Iraq’s Commission of Integrity estimated that about $500 billion in public funds vanished between 2006 and 2014. 

Investigations uncovered more than 50,000 “ghost soldiers,” and officials said 57,000 Interior Ministry salaries were paid to nonexistent employees.

A $4.2 billion Russian arms deal collapsed in 2012 over bribery claims. Transparency International ranked Iraq among the world’s most corrupt states during this period.

Regional Alignments and Collapse

Al-Maliki’s foreign policy sharpened sectarian and regional divides. 

He cultivated close relations with Tehran, aligning with Iran on Syria and tolerating Iranian military flights to Damascus. 

Gulf states accused him of marginalizing Sunnis; Saudi Arabia said his “exclusionary policies” helped create the conditions for ISIS. 

Relations with Türkiye deteriorated after 2012, when he accused Ankara of interference and labeled it a “hostile state.” 

Although he signed a 2007 memorandum pledging cooperation against the PKK, Turkish officials complained Baghdad failed to implement concrete measures.

The decisive blow to his premiership came in June 2014, when ISIS captured Mosul. 

Parliamentary investigators later named al-Maliki among those responsible for the collapse, citing politicized command structures and ignored warnings. 

About 30,000 Iraqi troops abandoned the city with minimal resistance. Under pressure from Iraq’s religious authorities, Washington, and Tehran, al-Maliki resigned in August 2014.

He later served as vice president and remained leader of the Da’wa Party.

U.S. assessments hardened over time. 

Donald Trump warned in January 2026 that Washington would cut support if al-Maliki returned to office, saying, “We can’t let that happen again,” and blaming his “insane policies” for Iraq’s chaos. 

In a 2014 interview, al-Maliki accused Saudi Arabia and Qatar of backing terrorism, stating, “These two countries are primarily responsible for the sectarian and terrorist crisis in Iraq.”

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